Medication Overuse Headache Risk Calculator
Check Your Headache Medication Risk
Determine if your medication use exceeds safe limits for medication overuse headache (MOH) based on international headache classification guidelines.
Why This Matters
According to the International Classification of Headache Disorders (ICHD-3), using headache medications more than the following limits can cause medication overuse headache (MOH):
- Opioids, butalbital, triptans: 10 or more days per month
- Combination analgesics: 15 or more days per month
- Simple NSAIDs: 15 or more days per month
MOH is a real condition where the medication itself creates the headache. It's reversible when you stop overusing medications.
Ever taken a painkiller for a headache-only to have it come back worse a few hours later? If you’ve been popping pills daily or even every other day, you might not realize you’re trapped in a cycle called medication overuse headache (MOH). It’s not just a bad headache. It’s a condition created by the very drugs meant to fix it. And it’s more common than you think: 1 to 2% of people worldwide have it, and about 8 out of 10 of those are women.
How Your Painkillers Are Making Your Headaches Worse
MOH happens when you use acute headache medications too often. It doesn’t matter if you’re taking over-the-counter pills or prescription drugs. The problem isn’t the strength of the medicine-it’s the frequency. Your brain gets rewired. What starts as an occasional tension headache or migraine turns into a daily, grinding pain because your nervous system becomes oversensitive. It’s like turning up the volume on a speaker until it starts screeching-even when there’s no signal.
Here’s the scary part: you might not even know you’re doing it. People often think they’re being responsible by taking pills only when they need them. But if you’re using any of these drugs more than the limits below, you’re at risk:
- Opioids (oxycodone, tramadol, hydrocodone): 10 or more days per month
- Butalbital combinations (like Lanorinal or Butapap): 10 or more days per month
- Triptans (Imitrex, Zomig): 10 or more days per month
- Combination analgesics (Excedrin: aspirin + acetaminophen + caffeine): 15 or more days per month
- Simple NSAIDs (ibuprofen, naproxen): 15 or more days per month
These numbers aren’t arbitrary. They come from the International Classification of Headache Disorders (ICHD-3), the global standard used by neurologists. If you’ve had headaches on 15 or more days each month for three months straight-and you’ve been hitting those medication limits-you likely have MOH.
What’s Really Happening in Your Brain
Your brain isn’t just reacting to pain-it’s learning to expect it. Studies show that people with MOH have changes in how their nervous system processes signals. Brain scans reveal increased sensitivity to touch and light, and a loss of the normal habituation response-meaning your brain doesn’t “tune out” repeated stimuli like it should. Animal studies point to messed-up serotonin and endocannabinoid systems, which are key players in pain control and mood.
This isn’t weakness. It’s biology. Dr. Peter Goadsby, a leading migraine researcher, puts it plainly: “MOH represents a failure of treatment strategy, not patient behavior.” Most people start taking these meds because their doctor told them to. They weren’t trying to create a problem. They were trying to survive.
The Withdrawal Trap (And How to Get Through It)
Stopping the meds is the only way to break the cycle. But that’s where things get rough. Withdrawal isn’t just a headache. It’s a full-body storm.
In a 2022 study of 350 MOH patients, researchers found:
- 92% had worse headaches during withdrawal
- 68% had nausea
- 42% vomited
- 29% dropped their blood pressure
Some people can quit cold turkey at home. Others need hospital care-especially if they’ve been using opioids or butalbital daily. The Mayo Clinic recommends stopping immediately for most people, but tapering slowly if you’re on high-risk drugs. Either way, you’ll need support.
Here’s what works:
- Stop the overused drug-all of it. No exceptions.
- Use rescue meds sparingly-only 2 days a week, and only with drugs you haven’t been overusing (like low-dose naproxen or acetaminophen).
- Start preventive treatment right away-don’t wait for the withdrawal to end. If you don’t, 78% of people relapse within three months.
Many patients report feeling worse for 2 to 4 weeks. Some say it takes up to 8 weeks to feel normal again. But the payoff is huge: in 65-70% of cases, headaches drop back to normal levels within two months after quitting.
What Medications Can You Still Use Safely?
Not all headache meds are created equal. Some are safer than others-especially for people with a history of overuse.
Safe for occasional use:
- Acetaminophen (Tylenol): up to 3,000mg per day
- Naproxen (Aleve): no more than 660mg per day
- Ibuprofen (Advil): no more than 1,200mg per day
Use with caution:
- Excedrin and similar combo pills: caffeine makes them more addictive. Avoid daily use.
- Triptans: effective for migraines, but overuse triggers MOH fast. Limit to 9 days per month max.
Newer, safer options:
A breakthrough came with the gepants class of drugs: ubrogepant (Ubrelvy), rimegepant (Nurtec ODT), and zavegepant (Zavzpret). These work differently than triptans-they block a pain-signaling molecule called CGRP without causing rebound headaches. Clinical trials show they don’t trigger MOH, even with frequent use. They’re expensive ($750/month), but for people stuck in the cycle, they’re life-changing.
In January 2024, the FDA approved atogepant (Qulipta) for preventive use in chronic migraine patients-including those with MOH. It’s taken daily and reduces headache frequency by 50% or more in many cases.
Prevention Is the Real Cure
Once you’ve broken the cycle, you need to avoid falling back in. That means changing how you think about headaches.
Keep a headache diary for at least 4 weeks. Write down:
- When the headache started
- How bad it was (1-10 scale)
- What you took and when
- How long it lasted
This isn’t busywork. It’s your roadmap. You’ll start seeing patterns: “Every time I take Excedrin on Tuesday, I get another one Thursday.” That’s your trigger.
Preventive meds can help too. Topiramate, propranolol, and CGRP monoclonal antibodies (like Aimovig) are proven to reduce headache frequency by 50-60%. They’re not magic bullets, but they give you breathing room. You can take them daily and still use rescue meds on bad days-without triggering MOH.
What Patients Are Saying
On Reddit’s r/Migraine community, over 150 people shared their MOH stories in early 2023. Common themes:
- “I thought my doctor was blaming me. I didn’t realize the meds were the problem.”
- “After 5 weeks off Excedrin, my headache days dropped from 28 to 9 per month.”
- “No one gave me a plan. I missed three days of work with vomiting and 24/7 pain.”
The ones who succeeded had a plan. They didn’t just quit. They replaced the old habit with something better: a daily preventive pill, a doctor’s appointment, a headache diary, or a non-drug tool like biofeedback or transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS)-which the Migraine Research Foundation is now funding to study as a withdrawal aid.
What’s Next? The Future of Headache Care
Science is moving fast. In May 2023, researchers identified 12 genetic markers linked to MOH risk. Soon, we may be able to test your genes and say: “You’re more likely to develop rebound headaches from triptans-so let’s avoid them.”
Drug companies are also designing new medications with built-in safeguards-molecules that can’t trigger sensitization. Dr. Richard Lipton predicts these could cut MOH cases by 40-50% in the next decade.
For now, the solution is simple but hard: stop overusing meds. Start preventing headaches. Get support. And don’t blame yourself. You didn’t do this on purpose. But you can fix it-with the right plan.